Democrats thought they had the 2020 election in the bag.
Joe Biden was their anointed frontrunner and the Blue Wave of 2018 had everyone convinced Donald Trump was finished.
But then this bombshell poll hit and it left Joe Biden in tears over what will happen in 2020.
Elections are contests of base mobilization.
Whichever party has the more committed and enthusiastic base usually wins the election.
In 2018 it was the Democrats.
Midterm elections see the party out of power reach a fever pitch of anger with the incumbent and their voters would crawl over glass to vote and try and gain revenge for losing the previous Presidential election.
Republicans gained Senate seats and held key governorships like Florida, Georgia, and Ohio because President Trump was able to rally the base in statewide contests.
However, Republicans lost 41 house seats because RINO Speaker of the House Paul Ryan refused to fight for priorities like President Trump’s border wall.
All throughout 2018, Democrats held a massive lead on the question of which party’s voters were more enthusiastic to turnout in the midterm election.
That energy led to an unheard of 21 Democrats jumping into the 2020 Presidential nominating contest.
Chief among the Democrats chasing after President Trump’s job was former Vice President Joe Biden.
Democrats –as well as many in the media – figured Biden as their best bet to beat Trump because he supposedly is “Blue Collar Joe” from Scranton, Pennsylvania.
That whole image is a fraud.
But what matters the most is how the numbers flipped on which party’s base was more fired up about the 2020 election.
A brand new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll found Republicans turned the tables.
75 percent of Republicans reported having a high interest in voting compared to 73 percent of Democrats.
NBC reporters Chuck Todd, Mark Murray and Carrie Dann fired a warning shot to Democrats writing in their wrap up of the survey’s findings that “…they should correct any Dem thinking that assumes — “Hey, we have Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin in the bag because we won there in 2018” — since GOP enthusiasm now is much higher.
President Trump would not be the first Commander-in-Chief to suffer disastrous midterm losses and be written off for dead only to win re-election.
Richard Nixon, Bill Clinton, Ronald Reagan, and Barack Obama also saw reporters and political opponents question their viability after significant midterm defeats.
But all four cruised easily to re-election.
That’s because when the President is on the ticket there is no complacency with the party base.
Rank-and-file voters that may not show up for your generic House incumbent will turn out for the President.
And since the President enters the election already having enough votes to secure victory by virtue of having amassed a winning coalition in the previous Presidential election, their party matching or exceeding the opposing party’s enthusiasm is usually enough to secure re-election.
That history – combined with the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll – should have every Democrat in America nervous about 2020.
We will keep you up to date on any new developments in this ongoing story.