Mitt Romney is the founding father of the Never Trump movement.
In the Senate, Romney’s worked to undermine the President at every turn.
But Mitt Romney left everyone speechless when he predicted Donald Trump would win re-election for these three reasons.
As the only Republican to vote to convict Donald Trump on the Democrats’ sham articles of impeachment, everyone expects that Mitt Romney will also support Joe Biden this fall.
While few expect Romney to publicly endorse Biden, no one thought the Utah RINO would speak favorably of the President’s chances to win re-election.
But in an interview with the Huffington Post, Romney listed three reasons he thought Donald Trump would defeat Joe Biden even if the polls all show a significant Biden lead.
“There are enormous advantages to being the incumbent, number one,” Romney said in the interview. “Number two, I think [Trump] will tack more towards the middle in his communication than he has so far.”
“And number three, I think the voters that are most animated in opposition to the president tend not to come out to vote ― and that’s young people and the minorities. They’re active in polls, but not necessarily active at actually getting out to the polls,” Romney added.
As to the reasons Romney listed Donald Trump will win re-election, there is ample evidence to back them up.
Americans do not like to fire sitting presidents.
Only five sitting presidents have lost re-election since 1900 and one of them was Gerald Ford who was not elected and took over halfway through Richard Nixon’s second term following Nixon’s resignation in the Watergate scandal.
The President is already putting Romney’s second reason for Trump winning re-election into practice.
President Trump resurrected the coronavirus press briefings and adopted a more serious tone as opposed to the free-wheeling hours-long sessions in March and April that damaged his poll numbers.
Fake news reporters would use those briefings to pick fights with the President and drive him off message.
The current briefings run about 30 minutes and the President stays on message as to what his administration is doing to curtail the current outbreak.
Finally, there is a long list of candidates that crashed and burned hoping for a surge in irregular voters.
In 2004, John Kerry bet a surge in young voter turnout would carry him to victory over George W. Bush.
Socialist Senator Bernie Sanders staked his 2020 presidential campaign on the idea that voters under the age of 30 would turnout in historic numbers to build a new coalition.
Those gambles backfired.
Biden also cannot count on minority voters turning out for him in numbers that past Democrat presidential candidates have seen.
Black voter participation rates dropped in 2016 from the historic levels under Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012.
And currently, Joe Biden is running behind Hillary Clinton’s polling margins with black and Hispanic voters.
Joe Biden leads in the polls.
That is beyond dispute.
But what is up in the air is if the polls are accurately measuring what the electorate will look like this fall.
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