Democrats are going to find out some bad news.
They thought their hold on power was secure.
But Nancy Pelosi will be thrown out of Congress after one humiliating defeat.
In 2020 Donald Trump powered Republican turnout that shocked the so-called “experts” and led to historic gains for the Republican Party.
With three House races yet to be called, Republicans gained at least ten seats in the House of Representatives and sliced Democrats’ majority to their slimmest margin ever since World War 2.
If the historical trend of special elections continues there is an outside chance Republicans could win back the majority in the House even before the 2022 midterms.
But Republicans are already eyeing that contest as a strong chance to out the Democrat majority and send Nancy Pelosi into retirement.
Alabama Republican Congressman Robert Aderholt told a local radio station he believes the 2022 cycle could turn out to be a very Republican year.
“It does look very good for the Republicans on the House and Senate side, quite honestly, because we are within striking distance now of getting the majority,” Aderholt began. “Obviously, there are some seats that still are out there. I think most of them have been called, and it’s going to be a Democrat majority in the House, but it’s by a much slimmer margin than they thought.”
Much of what will happen in the 2022 election depends on the outcome of the 2020 election.
If Donald Trump wins his legal challenges Republicans will be in for a fight in 2022.
Ronald Reagan, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama all suffered midterm election defeats where their party lost control of at least one house of Congress.
Aderholt predicted that if Joe Biden were to be declared the winner, the trend of the President’s party suffering double digit losses in the House of Representatives would put the GOP in the majority.
“As you rightly said, when you go into a midterm on the president of the other party — there is a backlash. And so, historically, I think it is 10-20 seats the minority in the other party picks up. So, we’ll be well over the majority in 2022,” Aderholt claimed.
Losing the majority would spell the end of Nancy Pelosi’s run in elected office.
Few believe Pelosi would either want to stick around to be in the minority or that the caucus would want her back in leadership should Democrats see their majority wiped out for a second time—the first being in 2010—on Pelosi’s watch.
Many Democrats are already furious at Pelosi for overseeing a disastrous 2020 campaign where the party lost at least ten seats when Pelosi predicted Democrats could gain as many as 15 or 20.
One more defeat will most likely be the end of the line for Pelosi.
If you want Black Eye Politics to keep you up to date on any new developments in this ongoing story and the rest of the breaking news in politics, please bookmark our site, consider making us your homepage and forward our content with your friends on social media and email.