Nancy Pelosi is the most powerful Democrat in Congress.
But her reign is about to come crashing down.
And now, Pelosi just made one bold prediction that will come back to haunt her.
Nancy Pelosi thinks that her party will end up keeping control of Congress in November, despite more than 70 years of electoral, economic, and cultural trends that suggest Democrats are all but guaranteed to lose their majority in the House of Representatives.
“Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., slammed reporters on Wednesday for questioning her insistence that Democrats will retain the House following the midterm elections,” reports Fox News.
“How many times have I told you over the past year and a half‑plus that the Democrats would hold the House, despite some of the so‑called ‘conventional’ so‑called ‘wisdom’ in Washington, D.C. saying that, in the off-year, the President’s party always loses Congress or seats?” Pelosi said when challenging a reporter on the Democrats’ chances in the midterm elections.
But the problem Pelosi has is that her prediction is almost completely at odds with history.
Since the end of World War II, the party out of the White House has almost always picked up seats in a midterm election. The only two exceptions were in 1998 and 2002, when Republicans and Democrats respectively failed to make any gains.
But not only are historical midterm trends on the side of the Republican Party, but the economic situation is as well.
In every single election where there has been a significant crash in the markets or the onset of a recession, the party that does not hold control of the White House has made significant gains in both chambers of Congress.
But that hasn’t stopped Pelosi from predicting something which is almost certainly impossible.
“Pelosi said such predictions were not ‘conventional’ or ‘wisdom,’ because wisdom has changed and Democrats are communicating differently versus how they have in the past. According to Pelosi, the reality has shifted, arguing that democracy, the planet, and the future of the U.S. are on the ballot this November,” adds Fox News.
The argument that “things are different this time” is one often used by the party that is about to get crushed in a midterm election.
The same argument was used recently by Republicans in 2018 right before Democrats made significant gains and flipped control of the House of Representatives.
Likewise, Democrats – including Pelosi herself – said something similar in 2014 right before their party suffered crippling losses in the US Senate, ultimately costing them control of both chambers of Congress.
Pelosi can point to any special election she wants, but none of her talking points override generations of political history.
The historical trends, combined with the looming Biden recession, all but guarantee that Democrats will lose control of the House of Representatives in November.
The only debate is whether or not Democrats will also lose the Senate, which is currently expected to be the more competitive chamber on election night.
