Nancy Pelosi is clinging to power by her fingernails.
Pelosi’s party must defend a historically narrow majority next year.
And Nancy Pelosi just saw the polling memo that may send her into a humiliating retirement.
Doug Schoen was a pollster on Bill Clinton’s successful 1992 presidential campaign.
Schoen is seeing some worrying trends for Democrats.
In the wake of Joe Biden’s fumbles on the border, inflation, jobs, crime, Afghanistan and COVID, Biden’s approval numbers tumbled.
Schoen claimed Biden’s diminished political standing could lead to a “blowout” for Democrats next year.
“The marked decline in support for President Joe Biden and his administration nationally and in key swing states indicates that the Democratic Party could endure a blowout defeat in the 2022 midterm elections,” Schoen wrote in an op-ed for TheHill.com.
Schoen added that Biden’s approval rating is lower right now than either Barack Obama or Bill Clinton’s was as at this point in their presidencies and both Clinton and Obama suffered historic wipeouts.
“Moreover, Biden is in a significantly weaker position now than both of his most recent Democratic predecessors — Bill Clinton and Barack Obama — at this point in their presidencies, which suggests that Democrats could suffer even more substantial losses in 2022 than the party did in 1994 and 2010,” Schoen wrote.
FiveThirtyEight.com took stock of Biden’s standing and found Biden with an average approval rating of 46 percent.
At this same point in time Bill Clinton clocked in at 48 percent and Barack Obama stood at 53 percent.
Schoen used the Gallup poll as his measuring stick and found that in mid-September 2009, Obama registered a 52 percent approval rating.
“At the same time, a majority of voters (52 percent) approved Obama, while 41 percent disapproved, according to a Gallup survey released on Sept. 13, 2010,” Schoen wrote.
In the 2010 midterms Republicans gained 63 seats in the House and six in the Senate.
According to Schoen, Bill Clinton’s poll standing was even lower than Obama’s in mid-September 1993 as just 47 percent of Americans approved of his job performance in that month’s Gallup poll.
But the following year Republicans gained control of the House of Representatives for the first time since 1948 as well as the Senate in a year the media dubbed the “Republican Revolution.”
“Likewise, on Sept. 12, 1993, Clinton’s approval rating was recorded at 47 percent approve and 42 percent disapprove by a Gallup survey. To put that in context, Clinton’s net approval rating was 13 points higher than Biden’s is at the same point in his presidency,” Schoen added. “Yet in the 1994 midterms, Democrats lost a net of 52 House seats and Republicans picked up eight seats in the Senate.”
There are rumors that Nancy Pelosi will call it quits from Congress after the midterm election.
And with Joe Biden’s poll numbers sitting below both Obama and Clinton, a former Bill Clinton pollster warns that Pelosi could ride off into retirement under a cloud in an embarrassing midterm wipeout.
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