With the passing of John McCain, there is a tough decision incoming.
That decision is who will replace him in the Senate.
And you won’t believe who is on the short list to replace him.
A Governor’s Decision
When a Senator cannot complete their term, each state has the ability to replace them as they see fit.
It is a power granted by the 17th Amendment.
And in Arizona, the decision comes from the governor who appoints somebody to fill in until the next available midterm election.
Because of the timing of the late Senator John McCain’s death, the next available midterm is 2020.
So until then whoever the governor chooses will serve.
While nobody knows who Arizona’s Governor Doug Ducey will choose, there is speculation.
In speculating, the first necessary step is to realize who Ducey is, and what he needs to take into account with a replacement.
Who Is Gov. Doug Ducey?
Gov. Ducey is a moderately conservative first-term governor.
He has been elected since 2014, where he won by over 10 percent.
Despite his handsome 2014 win, it appears that many in the state don’t like him so much anymore.
His current approval is below 50 percent.
This means he is looking for opportunities to gain support in the state.
So whoever he chooses to replace McCain, it will be a political decision.
With that fact, the rumored top pick of Cindy McCain is unlikely.
Cindy McCain is the widow of John McCain and is who the media seems to be rooting for.
But with Ducey’s upcoming re-election, Cindy McCain is a risky choice as a Republican.
Cindy McCain leans Democrat on many issues, and with one big vote coming up that could be bad for Ducey.
Trump’s SCOTUS Nominee
The biggest vote coming up is the confirmation of Trump’s Supreme Court nominee, Judge Brett Kavanaugh.
Anybody who is not a solid confirmation vote is an unlikely choice.
For that reason, unless Cindy McCain confirms she’s a yes vote she is unlikely.
The next risky choice, especially on a confirmation vote is Eileen Klein.
Klein is a political unknown at the national level.
Serving as the chief of staff for former Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer is her claim to fame.
But Brewer is a moderate Republican.
And political insiders in Arizona claim that Klein may be more moderate than even Brewer.
So that makes her a risky choice.
Three Non-Risky Choices
But while the two who appear to be on the top of the list are risky choices, there are others who are less risky for conservatives.
On the issue of Kavanaugh’s confirmation, the most solid pick appears to be former U.S. Sen. John Kyl.
Being a retired Senator already, Kyl would almost certainly serve only until 2020.
But Kyl is a virtual certainty to support Kavanaugh, considering that he already is.
He is currently taking time to help shepherd his confirmation through the Senate.
But he isn’t the only one solid on Kavanaugh.
The last two on the list are former Reps. John Shadegg and Matt Salmon.
Both have a solid conservative record from their time in Congress.
So they would both almost certainly support Kavanaugh.
Who do you think will replace John McCain?
Let us know your thoughts in the comments section below.